Friday, August 12, 2011

08/12/11 BG, CAT, DE, INTC, JNJ, KMP, MSFT, PG, RIG, SFL, STLD, UTX & WIN


08/12/11 BG, CAT, DE, INTC, JNJ, KMP, MSFT, PG, RIG, SFL, STLD, UTX & WIN

This analysis was performed after the market close on August 11, 2011.
Closing values were:

S&P 500 1,172.64
VIX 39.00


We chose this group of stocks upon request for stocks we believed represented value and opportunity. This diverse group of stocks were chosen as investments we believe will perform well in the current environment. All these stocks were in our database, thus we have chosen from our existing universe stocks that are familiar to us.


















Symbol Name

BG Bunge Limited
CAT Caterpillar Inc.
DE Deere & Company
INTC Intel Corporation
JNJ Johnson & Johnson
KMP Kinder Morgan Pipeline
MSFT Microsoft
PG The Procter & Gamble Company
RIG Transocean Ltd Co
SFL Ship Finance International
STLD Steel Dynamics
UTX United Technologies Corp
WIN Windstream Corp





Note: the tables shown are embedded .jpg files. This means that you can: 1) double left click them with your mouse to enlarge them, or 2) right click them with your mouse and choose to open them in a new window or tab, print, save, etc.As with everything we post, we may or may not have the stock and/or strategy in place in any one of our portfolios or may add it at any time. We do not make any buy or sell recommendations. We provide basic analytical research, some short commentary of the results and encourage you to do your own thorough due diligence prior to any purchase or sale.





















































































































































































































































































































Tuesday, August 9, 2011

08/08/11 ANZ, CL, CNI, COP, CVX, JNJ, KO, MCD, PG, TEF & XOM

08/08/11 ANZ, CL, CNI, COP, CVX, JNJ, KO, MCD, PG, TEF & XOM

This list of 11 stocks is from a SeekingAlpha article entitled 12 Quality Multinational Dividend Stocks to Combat the Current Economic Situation, written on August 8, 2011, by Dividends4Life.


The valuations below were done after the market close on August 8, 2011
At that time the following were priced at:

S&P 500 1,119.46
VIX 48.00

















AZN AstraZenica PLC - #2 overall stock of this group and second in both SSR and Days Earning. RVI's are at their lows as the stock is at the bottom of its trading range. The P/E's are low and we would take the near date or furthest date trade. The mid date costs too much in our view as we are looking for more sideways trading the upside at this time. We took a position in AZN late late last week. Liked it then, love it now.




CL Colgate-Palmolive Company - RVI's are mid to high. The stock has held up well in the current turmoil. We took a position in CL today.






CNI Canadman National Railway Company - #1 overall stock in this group and first in both SSR and Days Earning - RVI's a mid and the dividend will be paid in early September. We took a position in CNI today.






COP ConocoPhillips - RVI's are low to high with very low P/E's. We took a position in COP today.






CVX Chevron Corp. - #4 stock overall in this group and forth in SSR and Days Earning. RVI's are mid-high. The dividend is due to be paid this month.






JNJ Johnson & Johnson - RVI's are mid and the P/E's are attractive. The ex-dividend date is later this month. Without the dividend the September date days earning is 0.062% versus 0.085% with the dividend. Another quality stock that was not too badly treated by the market. We took a position in JNJ late late last week. Liked it then, love it now.





KO The Coca-Cola Company Common - RVI's are mid high to high. We have owned KO for a while and continue to like the stock. The dividend pays mid September.



MCD McDonald's Corp - We took a position in MCD late late last week. Liked it then, love it now. RVI's are mid high, the ed date for the dividend is later this month, as with nearly all these stocks the near term/immediate volatility pricing in the option overwealms the dividend componant of the next expri date options pricing.



PG The Procter & Gamble Company - QC fell apart here as the 52-week high is actually $67.72. This input error in not significant as the RVI's are very low and the P/E's are attractive. We took a position in PG late late last week. Liked it then, love it now.




TEF Telefonica SA Common - #3 over stock in this group and third in both SSR and Days Earning. RVI's are at rock bottom, P/E's are below 8. We like TEF at this price and took a position in it today.






XOM Exxon Mobil Corp - #5 overalls stock in this group and fifth in SSR and Days Earning. XOM pays a dividend within a week and has two option dates this month, one on the 10th and the other on the 19th. We only priced the later date but like the idea of selling the near date and rolling it into the further date for the month after expri.











Note: the tables shown are embedded .jpg files. This means that you can: 1) double left click them with your mouse to enlarge them, or 2) right click them with your mouse and choose to open them in a new window or tab, print, save, etc.As with everything we post, we may or may not have the stock and/or strategy in place in any one of our portfolios or may add it at any time. We do not make any buy or sell recommendations. We provide basic analytical research, some short commentary of the results and encourage you to do your own thorough due diligence prior to any purchase or sale.













Friday, August 5, 2011

08/04/11 12 Stocks in the Steel & Iron Industry - AKS, CMC, HSC, MT, NUE, PKX, RIO, SID, STLD, TX, VALE & WOR,

08/04/11 AKS, CMC, HSC, MT, NUE, PKX, RIO, SID, STLD, TX, VALE & WOR

All things Steel or is Steel a Steal
12 Stocks in the Steel & Iron Industry

This analysis was performed after the close of the US markets on August 4, 2011.
Closing values were as follows:

S&P 500 1,200.07
VIX 31.66

The stocks below were chosen because they are all within the Steel & Iron Industry. Recent market turmoil has led to significant repricing in nearly all Sectors and Industry categories. This particular Industry was not chosen for any specific reason other than we happened to be research on the Industry at the time. Many of the companies shown are not domestic US and therefore may have issues related to dividend payments and yield.

Given the dramatic decline in prices, the options chosen were as close to spot as possible. Because the pricing is market close some options were avoided because the closing prices did not seem accurate.



Symbol Name

AKS AK Steel Holdings Corp - #3 rated in this group - #2 in SSR and #4 in Days Earning - There is no current P/E and teh forward P/E is at 6.21 - The stock is at its 52 week low so the RVI's are at the bottom.

CMC Commercial Metals Company - #1 rated in this group as well with SSR and Days Earning - RVI's are low and the Days Earning are 76 bps. The SSR is over 11%. There is no current P/E however, the forward P/E is 7.8.


HSC Harsco Corporation - This is the least attractive stock of the group, ranked #13 of 12. RVI's are mid to low, however, the SSR and Days Earning are very low and in the current environment not attractive.

MT Arcelor Mittal - This is a stock we have liked and owned. The stock is currently at its 52 week low so RVI's are attractive. The next dividend is not until November so this is a pure volatility play.


NUE Nuroc Corporation - This is a stock we have liked and owned. The stock is currently at its 52 week low so RVI's are attractive. The next dividend is not until September and is currently estimated at 3.9%.

PKX POSCO Common Stock - One of the few stocks not at its absolute price low - There is no listed dividend so we will pass on PKX.

RIO Rio Tinto Plc - RVI's are mid range thus the stock is not trading at its 52 week lows. The Sept analysis note is off as the Days earning w/o div is 0.46%/day. RIO is #11 of this group
and at $118 one of the largest cap stocks. This appears to be a more conservative play.

SID Companhia Sidrurgica Nacional - #2 rated in this group - #3 in SSR and #2 with Days Earning - it is tempting based on the analysis and overall trade earning profile.


STLD Steel Dynamics - Another stock at its price low. #5 overall in this group, however, the dividend treatment by the model is off therefore the near date SSR is 3.62% and the mid date is 3.25%

TX Ternium S.A. - #4 rated in this group - #4 in SSR and #3 in Days Earning - , however, the dividend treatment by the model is off therefore the near date SSR is 4.5% and the mid date is 9.8%. The stock is at its 52 week lows making the RVI's attractive at the bottom of the range.


VALE VALE S.A. American Depository - #8 overall in the group and a stock we looked at last December. It is one of the large cap stocks of the group. The RVI's are mid low and the overall profile is attractive.

WOR Worthington Industries, Inc - #11 in the group and also having issues with the dividend calculation in our model. The near date SSR is 1.9% while the mid date is 3.3% earning the dividend. RVI's are mid.





*Note: the tables shown are embedded .jpg files. This means that you can: 1) double left click them with your mouse to enlarge them, or 2) right click them with your mouse and choose to open them in a new window or tab, print, save, etc.As with everything we post, we may or may not have the stock and/or strategy in place in any one of our portfolios or may add it at any time. We do not make any buy or sell recommendations. We provide basic analytical research, some short commentary of the results and encourage you to do your own thorough due diligence prior to any purchase or sale.

































































































































































































































































































































































































Thursday, August 4, 2011

08/03/11 BMY, CIM, CSCO, EPB, EPD, HRB, JPM, SFL, TEG

BMY, CIM, CSCO, EPB, EPD, HRB, JPM, SFL, TEG

This analysis was performed throughout the day of August 3, 2011.
This was a volatile day and required re-pricing most of the trades at the time of execution to insure accurate pricing.

Symbol Name


BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Company - 4.6% yield, Mid-high RVI's.

CIM Chimera Investment Group - 16.7% dividend, need I say more?

CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc - We are split internally on owning this stock. The RVI's are really low as the stock has underperformed so well. We question our decision to own this stock and are trying to get stopped out of our position.

EPB El Paso Pipeline Partners, LP - 5.5% dividend and mid-high RVI's.

EPD Enterprise Products Partners LP - 5.8% dividend and mid-high RVI's.

HRB H&R Block, Inc. - Overall #1 in this group although placing #2 in both SSR and Days Earnings - RVI's are mid, the P/E is low and the dividend is high.

JPM JP Morgan Chase & Co - We are hoping to get stopped out of this position. Banks are problematic to us and we are worried about this sector.

SFL Ship Finance International - #2 overall of the group - We struggles with this stock today - there is no apparent reason for its movement unless someone is trading on inside information - daily volume was 2-1/2 times normal and the stock took off strongly from its lows. The dividend is nearly 10%! We added to our position - RVI's are below 5%!

TEG Integrys Energy Group, Inc - #3 overall of the group - we went for the Sept option to try to capture the dividend. RVI's are low mid, the dividend is 5.4%.


*Note: the tables shown are embedded .jpg files. This means that you can: 1) double left click them with your mouse to enlarge them, or 2) right click them with your mouse and choose to open them in a new window or tab, print, save, etc.As with everything we post, we may or may not have the stock and/or strategy in place in any one of our portfolios or may add it at any time. We do not make any buy or sell recommendations. We provide basic analytical research, some short commentary of the results and encourage you to do your own thorough due diligence prior to any purchase or sale.