Monday, December 2, 2013

12/02/13 Into the year end

UPDATE Not really sure why I have not been able to get all the individual stock data loaned.  I know it has to do with a revised method of uploading the information.  I seem to be struggling as a blog/web master and for that I apologize..: 
However, I am excited about some of the stocks and their ranking.
For those of you who follow volatility, it is on the rise and that is helpful.
Of the stocks listed most of the top listed stocks on the ranking sheets (those other than the Alpha Sort) are quality investments and they have strong valuation as buy/writes.
Let me know via messaging if you need anything that has not posted.
For the week ending Thanksgiving we present our most recent analysis


:

List of this weeks current analysis in alphabetic order, reports below:
Symbol Name Dividend Pay Date
ADI Analog Devices, Inc 2.70% 11/28/13
ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 2.40% 12/11/13
AEE Ameren Corporation 4.40% 12/09/13
AEO American Eagle Outfitters, Inc 3.10% 12/30/13
AGU Agrium, Inc 3.40% 12/26/13
ALB Albemarie Corporation 1.40% 12/11/13
APD Air Products & Chemicals Inc. 2.60% 12/30/13
ARG Airgas 1.70% 12/10/13
AUY Yamana Gold 2.90% 12/27/13
AXS Axis Holdings Limited 2.00% 12/27/13
BANF BancFirst Corporation – no options 2.20% 12/26/13
BAX Baxter International Inc 2.09% 12/04/13
BDX Becton, Dickinson and Company 1.80% 12/05/13
BEN Franklin Resources, Inc 0.70% 12/26/13
BXS BancorpSouth, Inc 0.80% 12/11/13
CAH Cardinal Health, Inc 1.90% 12/30/13
CB The Chubb Corporation 1.80% 12/19/12
CBU Community Bank System, Inc 4.00% 12/18/13
CCJ Cameco Corporation Common 1.90% 12/26/13
CIM Chimera Investment Group 12.00% 12/31/13
CNI Canadian National Railway Company 0.70% 12/06/13
EAT Brinker International, Inc. 2.00% 12/04/13
ECL Ecolab Inc 0.90% 12/13/13
EIX Edison International 2.90% 12/26/13
FGP Ferrellgas Partners LP 8.40% 12/04/13
FTR Frontier Communications Co 8.50% 12/05/13
GPC Genuine Parts Company 2.60% 12/04/13
HI Hillenbrand Inc Common Stock 2.70% 12/12/13
HPQ Hewlett-Packard Company 2.30% 12/09/13
HRB H&R Block, Inc. 2.80% 12/05/13
KMB Kimberly-Clark Corp Common 3.00% 12/04/13
KO The Coca-Cola Company Common 2.80% 11/27/13
LEG Leggety & Platt Inc 4.00% 12/11/13
MKC McCormick & Company 2.00% 01/03/14
MLR Miller Industries, Inc. Common * thin/illiquid options 3.00% 12/05/13
MO Altria Group Inc. 5.20% 12/12/13
MOS Mosaic Company 2.10% 12/03/13
MRK Merck & Co, Inc 3.50% 12/12/13
NUE Nuroc Corporation 3.90% 09/28/11
RAI Reynolds American Inc 5.00% 12/06/13
RBC Regal-Beloit Corporation 1.10% 12/24/13
RCI Rogers Communicatoins, Inc 3.70% 12/11/13
SCG SCANA Corp 4.30% 12/06/13
SDRL Seadrill Limited ORD 8.00% 12/05/13
STLD Steel Dynamics 2.40% 12/26/13
SYK Stryker Corporation Common 1.40% 12/26/13
TM Toyota Motor Corp. 2.00% 12/26/13
VAL The Valspar Corporation 1.40% 11/27/13
WMT Wal-Mart Stores, Inc 2.30% 12/04/13
WOR Worthington Industries, Inc 1.50% 12/11/13
































































11/28/13 Where have all the good times gone?

WOW - The last post of August produced a great result.  However, since then most of what we have been doing is working to keep our positions covered.  Not much in the way of analysis and therefore no need to post.  Posting nonsense on the internet does not require much skill and we like to think we offer skillful and worthwhile advice.

The market has been a climbing and we have worked to keep the delicate balance of chasing return as opposed to earning income.  We have written extensively about this polemic in the past and will refer you to those older posts.  This is a philosophical discussion but based in the service we offer our clients.  Chasing return is not our mandate and we provide a covered call service only because income is so hard to find.

With this in mind, I recall my rebuffed by an investment professional last year because I used a covered call strategy.  He managed a boutique investment house with a respectable AUM that serviced HNW individuals.  We were discussing the need to capture income and various strategies.  In his mind he could not separate income from capital gains.  After all, if you owned stocks the only reason was to earn capital gain.  As a former bond manager I understood his argument, however, he could not see the income component of covered call writing.  Do not misunderstand me, as the boutique manager seems to have, I am not and never have believed covered call writing is anything more than a transient strategy to generate "income" in an interest rate environment such as we have been in for the past several years.  This is a strategy to meet a need and is a direct result of the current market conditions.

Previously, portfolio managers could rely on corporate bonds, preferred stocks, etc.  These asset classes are few and far between these days.  My research of more than a decade ago demonstrated a strong correlation between corporate equity and fixed-income with the junction where preferred and convertible securities meet.  Needless to say must companies never offered this spectrum within their capital structure.  These days, the nature of financing has changed as capital markets are adjusting to the demands of fiscal, monetary and taxation policy.

Anyway, to return to my boutique manager, he is old enough to remember the glory days of coupon bonds and respectable opportunities to create income for clients.  He just could not come to terms with covered calls on high yielding stocks.  Synthetic income does not work.  I understand but refuse to wear a scarlet A or rather I (for income).